Squawk Box Europe Express

China’s economy falls back to consumer price deflation territory with factory gate prices decreasing for the 13th consecutive month. Disney posts a Q3 bottom-line beat and cuts costs by a further $2bn. Boasting subscriber numbers of 150m, CEO Bob Iger tells CNBC that the business is now on its way to recovery. Chip maker ARM sees shares fall by almost 7 per cent in extended trade, posting weaker-than-expected guidance in its first results since going public. In aviation news, French plane maker Airbus posts 9-month revenue of €42bn and hikes its targets for the production of its A350 craft. We also assess last night’s third GOP presidential debate in Miami which focused on abortion rights, foreign policy and the absence of frontrunning candidate Donald Trump.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Wall Street notches its eighth consecutive session in the green – the longest winning streak in two years. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman is pushing for a further hike as her colleague Christopher Waller calls recent GDP data as a ‘blowout quarter’. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee tells our colleagues Stateside that a ‘golden path’ to a soft landing remains a possibility. Crude slips to three-month lows as several poor global data prints and the potential of spillover from the Israel-Gaza war fuel concerns of slowing demand. The IMF calls for tight European policy decisions but the Fund’s Europe Director Helge Berger tells CNBC that the continent will dodge a recession. Plus, we have a slew of third-quarter earnings with DHL, Pandora and Siemens Healthineers among them.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

UBS posts a higher-than-expected Q3 loss, however the incorporated Credit Suisse wealth management unit enjoys net new money turning positive for the first time in 18 months. The Nasdaq finishes in the green for a seventh consecutive session but Asian equities fail to follow suit. Chinese trade data is out for October with exports falling for a sixth straight month but imports beat forecasts to grow by 3 per cent. In Australia, the RBA hikes interest rates by 25bps, reaching a 12-year high. And in corporate news, WeWork seeks Chapter 11 bankruptcy. The Softbank-backed office-sharing start-up reports liabilities ranging from $10bn to $50bn.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Wall Street enjoys its best week of the year and the Nikkei responds by hitting a one-month high. The risk-on sentiment was fuelled by a softer-than-expected U.S. jobs data but Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin tells CNBC that there are still no rate cuts to come in the near-future. Berkshire Hathaway posts a 40 per cent jump in operating earnings as Warren Buffett buys up short-term Treasury bills. The company’s cash pile balloons to a record $157bn. In telco news, Telecom Italia’s board approved KKR’s €19bn bid for its fixed-line network. However, top shareholder Vivendi vows to block the deal using any legal means possible.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Sam Bankman-Fried is found guilty on all seven counts of criminal fraud, conspiracy and money laundering. The FTX founder now faces more than 100 years behind bars. A disappointing forecast for Christmas retail weighs on Apple in extended trade even as the company posts a beat on Q4 earnings. All three U.S. majors are on track for their strongest week of the year with non-farm payroll numbers due after the S&P 500 reporting its best session since April. French lender Société Générale enjoys a Q3 net profit beat thanks to a resilient performance from its investment arm as its new CEO plans to overhaul the bank. And Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey tells CNBC that the latest rate pause signals the end of the hiking cycle but says that talks of any cuts remain premature.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. Federal Reserve keeps rates on hold claiming progress in the fight against inflation but Chairman Jerome Powell does not rule out further hikes as the U.S. economy remains robust. Investors, however, bet that the Fed is finished in its hiking cycle, pushing Wall Street into the green and U.S. yields drop with the Treasury decreasing the pace of longer-dated bond issuance. But investors Stanley Druckenmiller and Jeffrey Gundlach tell CNBC that they fear oncoming challenges. The BoE rate decision is due later today. And we are live in Bletchley Park, Buckinghamshire at the A.I. Safety Summit where the U.S. has unveiled its own watchdog to regulate the new technology. The UK’s Science, Innovation & Technology Minister Michelle Donelan tells CNBC that it is paramount to have the ‘right guardrails’ in place today. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Wall Street ends a tough October in the green as investors bank on another Federal Reserve rate pause. The U.S. Treasury is due to announce its quarterly refunding process with the 10-year yield hitting a 16-year high. The private Caixin survey shows Chinese manufacturing slip into contraction territory in October, further highlighting the challenges facing Beijing’s stimulus programme. Corporate tech leaders and world policy makers meet in the UK for the inaugural A.I. Safety Summit. We hear from the CEO of Google DeepMind who says governments must coordinate to create a safe framework for the technology.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Bank of Japan revises its upper limit on the 10-year JGB yield as a loose reference rather than a strict cap with the yield now hitting its highest level in almost a decade. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 enjoys its best day since August exiting correction territory but all three major U.S. indices are set to close October in the red – their first three-month losing streak since March 2020. In China, manufacturing activity saw a surprising dip for the month with services and construction also falling. And in corporate news, Tesla shares sink after its battery partner warns that EV demand is faltering. X CEO Elon Musk’s stock plan indicates he values the social media company at less than half the price he paid for it last year.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

HSBC launches a new $3bn share buy-back programme after posting Q3 profits of $7.7bn. The S&P 500 closed last week in correction territory, All three major U.S. indices are set for their third consecutive week in the red. Investors now await rate decisions from the Fed, BoJ and the BoE. Israel expands military manoeuvres in northern Gaza while thousands break in to a UN aid warehouse. In autos news, the UAW agrees to a pay deal with Stellantis and also approves a tentative deal with Ford regarding a 30% wage increase for full-time workers.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Nasdaq falls further into correction territory as poor tech results and rising Treasury yields dampens sentiment in the sector. Meanwhile the U.S. economy has grown at its fastest pace in two years. Amazon boasts soaring advertising sales with profits almost tripling for the quarter. Shares are up by 5 per cent in after-hours trade. In China, policy support aids profits in some of the country’s biggest industrial firms as Foreign Minister Wang Yi meets his U.S. counterpart Antony Blinken in Washington, hoping to improve ties between the world’s two largest economies. The ECB pauses its rate-hiking cycle after 10 consecutive increases. The central bank’s president Christine Lagarde announces that any suggestion of cuts remains very premature.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. markets are in the red with the Nasdaq suffering its worst one-day drop since February and the S&P 500 falling below the 4,200-point mark. Meta beats Q3 expectations but the result is overshadowed by an uncertain revenue outlook for the social media giant. Asia-focused lender Standard Chartered misses Q3 pre-tax profit expectations by 2 per cent and is hit with $294m of credit impairment charges. BNP Paribas chalks up a third-quarter beat with net income hitting €2.7bn but CFO Lars Machenil tells CNBC he is concerned about the oil and gas price outlook. Ford strikes a tentative deal with UAW and the agreement now needs to be approved by members following 6 weeks of strikes. And in Washington, Louisiana Congressman Mike Johnson is finally selected as Speaker of the House to end 3 weeks of uncertainty on Capitol Hill.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Tech earnings kick off in the U.S. with Alphabet posting a beat across the board but missing expectations on cloud revenue which has plunged shares down by 6 per cent in after-hours trade. Microsoft, however, see shares rise by 4 per cent after its own cloud unit saw quarterly sales rise by 19 per cent compared to last year. We have earnings in Europe where Deutsche Bank hikes its capital outlook after posting a 3 per cent increase in net revenue for the third quarter due to a strong performance from its corporate banking division. Luxury fashion house Gucci suffers a 9 per cent drop in Q3 sales as U.S. demand weakens. And in Washington a fourth GOP candidate – Mike Johnson – is the latest to be nominated for Speaker of the House after Majority whip Tom Emmer ends his bid just four hours after selection.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Billionaire investor Bill Ackman withdraws his short position while bond king Bill Gross snaps up short-dated interest rate futures in a sign the pair are concerned about the health of the U.S. economy. Hamas releases two elderly hostages as French President Emmanuel Macron jets into Tel Aviv in a bid to contain the conflict. In oil news, Chevron swoops for Hess in a $53bn all-share mega-deal. Chevron CEO Mike Wirth tells our colleagues Stateside the merger will be a boon for the sector. Computer parts maker Logitech struggles in the second quarter through falling sales following the gains it made during the pandemic.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Humanitarian aid enters Gaza amid ongoing Israeli airstrikes as the war with Hamas enters its third week. Speaking exclusively to our colleagues at Sky News, Israeli President Isaac Herzog has said his nation has the right to defend itself. Asian stocks fall for a fourth consecutive day as the global bond sell-off continues. Several Fed officials have hinted that the central bank may be close to ending the rate-hiking cycle. In China, the blue-chip CSI falls to its lowest level since 2019. Authorities in Beijing investigate Apple supplier Foxconn over tax issues and land use. In autos news, Volkswagen cuts its FY profit outlook but maintains its delivery and sales targets ahead of official results coming later this week.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has dismissed criticism that the current rate policy is too tight and that recent signs of cooling are still not enough to convince that inflation is falling sustainably towards the central bank’s goal. Wall Street was pushed into the red after the 10-year Treasury yield breached the key 5 per cent mark. It is at its highest level in 16 years. U.S. President Joe Biden has called on Congress to release up to $100bn in a new security aid package to Ukraine and Israel, saying American leadership ‘holds the world together’. L’Oréal posts an 11 per cent surge in Q3 sales despite weak Chinese demand.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Price cuts and margin pressures have sent Tesla shares down 4 per cent in after-hours trade following a profit drop of 44 per cent for the quarter. CEO Elon Musk has warned of a challenging outlook. Netflix, however, sees shares soaring by 13 per cent on increased subscriber figures. Co-CEO Greg Peters hails the advertising business at the streaming giant. Asian indices are down after the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hits its highest level since July 2007. Washington says that Egypt is due to open the Rafah crossing by Friday to allow humanitarian aid into Gaza. And in tech news, cloud computing titan SAP confirms its full-year guidance. Cloud revenue in Q3 is up 16 per cent with shares on Wall Street up 3 per cent in extended trade.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Chinese GDP in the third quarter beats expectations growing 4.9%, raising hopes that Beijing can still manage to attain its full year growth target. In the U.S., the 2-year Treasury yield hits a 17-year high on better-than-expected consumer numbers. However, BofA CEO Brian Moynihan tells our colleagues stateside that he believes consumer activity is still being hampered by high interest rates. Hundreds are believed dead after a blast at a Gaza hospital, just hours before President Biden is due to arrive in Tel Aviv. We hear from Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry who says that Israel’s actions over the past week may have violated international humanitarian laws. In Washington, the search for a new House speaker stalls again as Republican Jim Jordan falls short of winning the role by 17 votes. A second ballot is due later today. And in retail news, sportswear giant Adidas cuts its full year loss forecast and hikes guidance on the strong sale of its remaining Yeezy shoe inventory.  See Privacy Po

U.S. President Joe Biden confirms he will visit Israel on Wednesday while Secretary of State Antony Blinken has stressed the need for aid to reach the Gaza Strip where the humanitarian crisis is worsening. Optimism over corporate earnings help push the Dow to its best session for a month ahead of earnings from Goldman Sachs and BofA later today. Chinese property giant Country Garden could default on a dollar bond as it nears the end of a 30-day grace period to pay a $15m coupon. Russian President Vladimir Putin arrives in Beijing to solidify his ‘no limits’ partnership with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping. And in crypto news, asset manager BlackRock denies reports that U.S. regulators have approve its application for a spot Bitcoin ETF. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

President Biden warns the Israel-Hamas war could escalate into a wider regional conflict and cautions Jerusalem against re-occupying the Gaza Strip. The S&P 500 posts its second week in the green while geo-political tensions sees Brent move back up past $90 per barrel. Kicking off Q3 earnings season, U.S. banking giants JP Morgan, Citi and Wells Fargo all beat on top and bottom lines. Asset manager BlackRock sees its first net outflows since early 2020 but CEO Larry Fink remains bullish about the future. In Poland, the ruling Law & Justice party wins the general election but falls short of a majority with former European Council president Donald Tusk eyeing a path to a coalition government.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. markets end a four-day streak in the green, dragging Asian equities lower as a result as stronger-than-expected inflation re-ignites concerns that rates will remain elevated for longer. Debt distress was a focus at the IMF/World Bank Meetings in Marrakech yesterday. World Bank President Ajay Banga tells a CNBC panel that trying to predict interest rates is ‘soothsaying, future-telling’. September consumer inflation in China flatlines and manufacturing prices fall for a twelfth consecutive month. Israel issues a warning to all Gaza City residents to leave the city for southern regions of the Strip ahead of significant military ground offensives. And in Washington, Louisiana Republican Representative Steve Scalise withdraws his bid for Speaker of the House, prolonging the impasse to a second week.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.