Squawk Box Europe Express

UK Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng is reportedly set to bring his medium-term fiscal plan forward following yesterday’s U-turn on cutting the top rate of tax. Asian markets are in the green, extending the global rally. The Dow will look to build on its 760-point rally. Ukrainian forces continue to claw back more territory in the south and east of the country following Moscow’s annexation of four regions. In banking news, Credit Suisse’s credit default swaps reach new highs after the Swiss lender failed to calm market fears about its financial health.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The pound slides as the S&P puts the UK on notice for a downgrade as the Conservative Party conference begins in Birmingham. Prime Minister Liz Truss admits her tax cut plans could have benefited from better communication. The Dow falls by 500 points to close below the 29,000 mark in what was the worst September for the index for 20 years. Ukrainian forces recapture the eastern city of Lyman as Russian President Vladimir Putin signs accession treaties for 4 illegally occupied regions. Oil prices surge on news that Opec+ producers are reportedly mulling a 1m bpd output cut. And in corporate news, Credit Suisse moves to reassure investors about its financial health, causing credit default swaps spreads to move sharply higher.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The S&P 500 slumps to a new low for this year, weighed down by Apple’s broad declines. U.S. markets are set for the third consecutive negative quarter. However, Morgan Stanley CEO James Gorman tells our U.S. colleagues that he sees no signs of panic from investors. UK PM Liz Truss and Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng are to have and emergency meeting with the OBR but Downing Street insists its mini-budget tax cuts are essential. Chinese manufacturing shows signs of recovery but the Caixin survey shows that services are struggling from a sharp slowdown. And in energy news, Germany outlines a €200bn package to shield consumers from soaring gas prices.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Bank of England scrambles to restore market calm with a £65bn bond-buying programme. We are live for the latest from Threadneedle Street. Last Friday’s controversial UK ‘mini-budget’ also makes waves at CNBC’s Delivering Alpha conference with founder and CEO of Citadel, Ken Griffin, voicing his concern about the potential fallout for investor confidence. The 10-year Treasury yield falls by its largest amount since 2020 while the S&P 500 breaks its six-day losing streak but billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller tells this channel a downturn is still imminent. Porsche is set to list in Frankfurt later today in what is likely to be Europe’s largest IPO ever. And European leaders vow to investigate the recent Nord Stream pipeline leaks in the Baltic while European Commission President Ursula Von Der Leyen says the bloc will refuse to recognise referenda held in four occupied Ukrainian regions.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do

The IMF slams the UK’s government’s budget plans cuts and say they will serve to impact the BoE’s rate hikes. The central bank’s Huw Pill says a strong monetary response will be needed to tackle soaring inflation. The S&P 500 sinks further into bear market territory. Asia equities fall to their lowest ever level in two and a half years. Stateside, Minneapolis Fed Chair Neel Kashkari says the central bank will continue to hike rates appropriately. St Louis Fed Chairman James Bullard is adamant that recession remains a risk but Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood believes deflation is around the corner in the next six months. European authorities launch probes into 3 gas leaks coming from the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines in the Baltic Sea. Poland’s Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki and Denmark’s Mette Frederiksen believe sabotage cannot be ruled out.   See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

We are live at Threadneedle Street as sterling claws back some of yesterday’s record losses versus the dollar. The BoE and the Treasury have moved to calm jittery investors amid a brutal gilt sell-off. In the U.S., the Dow enters bear market territory while the S&P 500 posts its lowest close this year. Chatham House senior advisor Jim O’Neill says that assets are following messaging from the Fed. The World Bank slashes its China growth forecast, saying that it will lag behind regional peers for the first time in more than 30 years. Industrial profits continue to be impacted by Covid restrictions.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

We are live in Rome where the centre-right coalition have won a clear majority with 43 per cent of the vote. Fratelli d’Italia leader Giorgia Meloni is now set to be Italy’s next prime minister. The opposition Democratic Party has conceded defeat with the fractured centre-left bloc struggling in the polls. In forex news, sterling falls to its lowest level against the dollar since 1971 as investors fear Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng’s tax cuts cluster will increase the UK’s debt burden. The Dow has hit its lowest point this year as the global sell-off continues.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Wall Street is in the red for a third consecutive day while European equities hit an 18-month low amid a slew of central bank tightening measures. Italy’s political parties hold their last rallies ahead of Sunday’s snap election. Brothers of Italy leader Giorgia Meloni says her party is ready to govern. The BoE is split with the UK government with one voting member questioning policy in tackling inflation. Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng is set to slash taxes in his mini-budget. And at the UN, Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov walks out of the Security Council over alleged war crimes committed in Ukraine by Russia forces.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The U.S. Federal Reserve increases interest rates by 75bps for the third consecutive month. The rate is now at its highest level since early 2008. Chairman Jerome Powell warns that the there will be more rate moves to come to tackle inflation. U.S. equities are down and the 2-year Treasury yield has hit 4 per cent for the first time in 15 years. The BoJ, however, holds rates at record low levels. At the UN, U.S. President Joe Biden leads global condemnation of Russia’s partial military mobilisation and threats of nuclear strikes.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. markets continue their sell-off with 2- and 10-year Treasury yields reaching new highs ahead of another large Fed rate hike. Hedge fund manager Leon Cooperman slams U.S. Fed chair Jerome Powell for “irresponsible fiscal monetary policy”. JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon gives a stormy economic forecast ahead of Congress appearances by bosses of the seven largest U.S. banks. Russian President Vladimir Putin is expected to give his first national address since the beginning of the Ukraine invasion. The Kremlin is likely to ramp up military operations in the country and to fast-track annexation referenda in four occupied territories. And in energy news, Berlin is set to complete the final stage of its takeover of troubled utility Uniper, also providing a further €8bn in support measures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. markets are braced for the Fed’s policy meeting starting today, breaking a two-day losing streak and pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to an 11-year high. The PBC keeps rates steady with the BoJ expected to do the same despite inflation reaching an 8-year high. Germany is expected to ink a gas deal with Qatar as it pivots away from Russian energy. However Bilfinger CEO Thomas Schulz tells this channel that Europe has the requisite energy infrastructure to weather the current power crisis. In autos news, Ford shares reverse in extended trade after supply chain issues weigh on costs.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

We are live at Windsor Castle and in London where world leaders have arrived for the funeral of Queen Elizabeth II. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq suffer their worst week since June ahead of the Fed’s next meeting. In Europe, ECB officials warn of further rate hikes. In IPO news, Volkswagen aims for a partial valuation of Porsche of up to €75bn. And the EU could withhold €7.5bn of funding from Hungary over a rule-of-law dispute with Budapest.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. retail sales climb, and jobless claims fall ahead of next week's Fed meeting. This, as the market rally falters, with major U.S. indices on track for their fourth negative week in five, while Man Group CEO Luke Ellis tells CNBC he expects further pain to come as the Fed tightens policy and Fedex CEO Raj Subramaniam warns of a global recession. Chinese consumer confidence shows signs of resilience with retail sales rising at their fastest pace in six months, while factory output and investment data also top expectations. Russia acknowledges Chinese "questions and concerns" over the Ukraine war, after Presidents Putin and Xi hold in person talks for the first time since the invasion. In extended U.S. trade, Adobe shares sink after the software company announces a 20 billion dollar deal to buy Figma.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

U.S. producer prices fall for a second straight month as easing energy costs offer some respite, while the IMF's Kristalina Georgieva calls on central bankers to be stubborn in their fight against inflation. A shutdown deadline looms large, as President Biden mediates crunch talks to avoid a national railway strike that could throw U.S. supply chains into deeper disarray, potentially costing the economy $2 billion a day. Chinese President Xi Jinping makes his first overseas trip since the start of the pandemic, with the war in Ukraine on the agenda as he meets Russia's Vladimir Putin. In Europe, the French government announces it will cap energy price rises for households at 15 percent in 2023, at a cost of 16 billion euros and Uniper shares plunge after the gas importer confirms it is in talks with the German government over further support.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Wall Street plunges in its worst sell-off in more than two years, with the Dow diving 1200 points, while the two-year Treasury yield rockets to levels not seen since 2007, all after a hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI print of 8.3%, raising expectations the Fed could look to hike rates by 100 basis points at its next meeting. In other news, Germany's cabinet prepares to approve an expanded state support program for troubled energy providers, and Twitter shareholders approve Elon Musk's $44 billion takeover, while a whistleblower tells US lawmakers of alleged major security flaws at the social media platform and says regulators are ill-equipped for their role.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

US CPI expectations ease according to a key Fed survey ahead of today's August print, with inflation expected to slow to eight percent. Swiss lender UBS hikes its annual dividend by ten percent and announces share buybacks will top five billion dollars this year, as fellow bank Goldman Sachs plans to cut hundreds of jobs this month according to a CNBC source, looking to rein in expenses amid a collapse in deals volume. Twitter shareholders reportedly vote in favour of Elon Musk's 44 billion dollar takeover, as the billionaire tries to force his way out of the deal.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Queen Elizabeth's coffin lies in rest in Edinburgh, after a six-hour journey from Balmoral Castle, with her funeral set to take place on Monday September 19. King Charles III is formally proclaimed sovereign, with the new monarch set to start a tour of the UK in Scotland, for a service marking the passing of his mother. Ukrainian forces reclaim large stretches of territory in the northeast of the country, as Russia makes a hasty retreat and launches a barrage of missiles into Kharkiv. Crude prices slip amid warnings China's fuel demands could contract for the first time since 2002 as Beijing continues to impose a zero-covid policy approach to covid cases.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The UK begins a period of mourning after Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth the Second dies aged 96, ending the reign of the world's longest serving monarch. His Majesty, King Charles the Third ascends to the throne, and says the loss of his mother will be felt deeply. Condolences pour in from around the globe as world leaders praise her dignity and dedication, calling her passing a great loss to the international community. In other news, the ECB hikes rates by a record 75 basis points, to the highest level since 2011, pushing eurozone yields higher as Christine Lagarde pledges to keep up the inflation fight. US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell echoes Christine Lagarde's comments, vowing to continue his battle with inflation stateside.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

ECB policy makers are expected to hike by a record-breaking 75bps to combat inflation amid sky-rocketing utility prices. U.S. equities are in the green and crude prices bounce back following the Fed’s Lael Brainard insisting the central bank must hold its nerve in containing inflation. The dollar is at a 24-year high against the yen. New UK leader Liz Truss attends her first Prime Minister’s Questions as sterling sinks to its lowest level since 1985. The EU is proposing a price cap on Russian gas in order to mitigate the energy crisis facing the bloc.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Wall Street closes in the red yet again. The Nasdaq posts its longest daily losing streak since 2016. Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin says that rates must stay high until inflation is contained. New UK Prime Minister Liz Truss is reportedly planning a £100bn package to help millions of households cut sky-rocketing energy bills this winter. Gazprom has signed a deal to permit Chinese customers pay for its gas in yuan or roubles in a bid to move away from the dollar. Goldman Sachs says that European household energy costs could soar by $2tn by next year. We hear from Uniper CEO Klaus-Dieter Maubach who says “the worst is still to come” for European gas consumers. And in China, August exports numbers slow with Covid restrictions, inflation and energy supply problems all weighing heavily.  See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.