Jsedirect With Simon Brown

Bye bye inflation? Rate cuts next? (#546)

Informações:

Sinopsis

Local CPI 6.3% for May (lowest since April 2022) from 6.8% in April and vs expected 6.5%. A very good number and we should see June below 6% as June last year was the first +7% in this cycle at 7.4%. Simple base effect should put some serious pressure on inflation over the next few months. So is inflation largely over locally? Probably. Can we start talking about when the MPC starts cutting rates? The next MPC rate announcement is July, the day after we get June inflation and we'll see that the governor says. But cuts are maybe fourth quarter fo this year, at soonest. Standard Bank thinks another 0.25% hike later this year and consensus is cuts only starting next year. Simon Shares UK core inflation rises from 6.8% to 7.1% and CPI 8.7%. They are in trouble. Standard Bank (JSE code: SBK) trading update. Very much two parts, bad debts are ugly and profts are lookign great. They also expect a 0.25% rate increase in the second half of the year? Afrimat (JSE code: AFT) deal to buy Lafarge for ±R1billion. String